Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 15.052971 17.022212 19.225222 21.886278 25.031939 28.654733 33.175613
2025-09-14 11.887204 14.264004 17.134956 20.903142 25.786233 31.995868 40.647628
2025-09-21 9.973201 12.426077 15.538760 19.855143 25.810736 33.933278 46.204803
2025-09-28 8.778636 11.267385 14.552328 19.316151 26.241651 36.269194 52.540097
2025-10-05 8.806933 11.683816 15.652890 21.712217 31.077898 45.651202 71.494514
2025-10-12 8.356084 11.367778 15.666285 22.497298 33.585317 51.887066 86.877269
2025-10-19 7.607362 10.540294 14.831881 21.858615 33.694483 54.140925 95.634587
2025-10-26 7.293170 10.313214 14.857436 22.554737 36.086307 60.749309 114.541679
2025-11-02 6.797742 9.763887 14.324041 22.255482 36.678269 64.126517 127.674701
2025-11-09 6.345490 9.241780 13.781012 21.867099 37.033103 67.078879 140.703941
2025-11-16 5.972898 8.814585 13.350696 21.619404 37.602480 70.550866 156.062791
2025-11-23 5.576838 8.320348 12.766993 21.030475 37.416415 72.368456 167.770837
2025-11-30 5.259931 7.946877 12.379390 20.804286 38.021377 76.279113 187.353572
2025-12-07 4.854332 7.400964 11.656071 19.877912 37.057657 76.417642 196.210345
2025-12-14 4.478643 6.881301 10.940042 18.894391 35.839122 75.716991 202.309629
2025-12-21 4.210364 6.527194 10.490853 18.388113 35.596741 77.407122 217.071836
2025-12-28 4.361492 6.901248 11.374848 20.636980 41.928614 97.789115 309.685571
2026-01-04 4.287171 6.873531 11.516030 21.372890 44.854586 109.782484 379.459917
2026-01-11 4.049691 6.539338 11.054436 20.774243 44.392451 111.660058 406.141896
2026-01-18 3.980346 6.504672 11.162442 21.426714 47.226616 124.583806 496.593497
2026-01-25 3.808258 6.271143 10.866148 21.146267 47.563379 129.519492 549.815722
2026-02-01 3.639046 6.033812 10.546600 20.782197 47.622158 133.563654 602.034429
2026-02-08 3.495231 5.836500 10.294232 20.549950 48.017778 138.964527 668.688822